UEFA Euro 2016 Final Preview – Portugal vs France

Portugal vs France, Stade de France, Saint-Denis


Road to the final

Portugal

Portugal 1 (Nani 31), Iceland 1 (B Bjarnason 50)
Portugal 0, Austria 0
Hungary 3 (Gera 19, Dzsudzsak 47, 55), Portugal 3 (Nani 42, Ronaldo 50, 62)
Croatia 0, Portugal 1 (Quaresma 117)
Poland 1 (Lewandowski 2), Portugal 1 (Renato Sanches 33) (a.e.t, Portugal won 5-3 on penalties)
Portugal 2 (Ronaldo 50, Nani 53), Wales 0

France

France 2 (Giroud 57, Payet 89), Romania 1 (Stancu 65 pen)
France 2 (Griezmann 90, Payet 90+6), Albania 0
Switzerland 0, France 0
France 2 (Griezmann 58, 61), Republic of Ireland 1 (Brady 2 pen)
France 5 (Giroud 12, 59, Pogba 20, Payet 43, Griezmann 45), Iceland 2 (Sigthorsson 56, B Bjarnason 84)
Germany 0, France 2 (Griezmann 45+2 pen, 72)

Top Scorers

Portugal

3 – Nani, Cristiano Ronaldo.
1 – Ricardo Quaresma, Renato Sanches.

France

6 – Antoine Griezmann.
3 – Olivier Giroud, Dimitri Payet.
1 – Paul Pogba.

Team News

Portugal

Pepe missed the game against Wales with a thigh injury, and while he is still in doubt he is likely to start in the final. William Carvalho is also set to return after he was suspended for the semi-final, with Danilo most likely to make way in the centre of midfield.
Likely team (4-1-3-2): Rui Patricio – Cedric, Pepe, Jose Fonte, Raphael Guerreiro; William Carvalho; Joao Mario, Renato Sanches, Adrien Silva; Nani, Ronaldo.

France

The French have been in strong form throughout the knockout stages, and Didier Deschamps is unlikely to make any changes to the team that beat Germany 2-0. They have no injuries or suspensions to deal with, and they will be hard to beat.
Likely team (4-2-3-1): Lloris – Sagna, Koscielny, Umtiti, Evra; Pogba, Matuidi; Sissoko, Griezmann, Payet; Giroud.

Key Duels

William Carvalho vs Antoine Griezmann

Griezmann is almost certain to claim the golden boot after scoring a brace against Germany in the semi-finals, and the Atletico Madrid star will look to be at his best again in the final. He has been incredibly effective playing in between attack and midfield, where he has been able to find plenty of space and has been able to attack at great pace. Griezmann has become the life of the French attack, and if Portugal are to win Carvalho will need to reduce his impact by restricting the space that he has to work with.

Renato Sanches vs Paul Pogba

The game could well hinge on this match-up. Sanches has been a revelation at this tournament, and in the final he will come up against Pogba, who is one of the best players in the world. Sanches is strong and pacy, and he has developed into one of Portugal’s biggest individual threats. Pogba will look to deny him the ball and will look to force him into defensive positions where he cannot make an impact on the break. For his part, Sanches will need to put plenty of pressure on Pogba, and he will try to find plenty of the ball.

Pepe/Jose Fonte vs Olivier Giroud

Giroud has been in excellent form throughout the tournament, and he can beat most players in the air. The Portuguese centre backs will be left with the difficult task of containing the Arsenal frontman, who has provided plenty of chances for Griezmann and Dimitri Payet with his ability to play the ball past the defence into open space. Both Pepe and Fonte will need to match him in the air, and they will look to keep him out of the game by removing him from the contest.

Joao Mario vs Patrice Evra/Bacary Sagna

Portugal tend to run most of their play through Mario, who roams around behind Nani and Cristiano Ronaldo and attempts to set up chances. He is not the most effective crosser, but he has been given plenty of space throughout the tournament and he consistently finds the ball in dangerous positions. Sagna and Evra will need to be at their best to ensure that Mario does not have a big impact on the match, and they will attempt to do this by closing off the space he has at his disposal. If the French can shut down Mario life will be very difficult for the Portuguese, who use him in almost all of their attacks.

Tactics

Portugal

The Portuguese will look to control possession and deny France the opportunity to involve Griezmann, Payet and Giroud. They tend to attack slowly while using plenty of width, and they are likely to put in plenty of crosses against the French. Nani and Ronaldo will be given plenty of freedom, and they could cause plenty of issues for the French defence.
Read my pre-tournament assessment of Portugal here

France

The French like to stay in control, and they will be content to play the ball around the midfield and keep it away from the Portuguese. They will look to do this to gain more space for Griezmann and Payet, who attack quickly and skilfully. Giroud will look to provide plenty of opportunities with his ability to hold up play, and the French will be comfortable to play on the counter-attack.
Read what I wrote about France pre-tournament here

Prediction

This game will be a good one, and in the end the team that can control the midfield will probably lift the trophy. The French pairing of Pogba and Blaise Matuidi are more experienced and stronger, and they should be able to play the game on their terms. Payet, Griezmann and Giroud form an incredibly dangerous combination, and they could well prove the difference between the sides. France 2-0.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s