England vs Iceland, Allianz Riviera, Nice
England 1 (Dier 73), Russia 1 (V Berezutski 90+2)
England 2 (Vardy 56, Sturridge 90+2), Wales 1 (Bale 42)
Slovakia 0, England 0
Portugal 1 (Nani 31), Iceland 1 (B Bjarnason 50)
Iceland 1 (G Sigurdsson 40 pen), Hungary 1 (Saevarsson 88 og)
Iceland 2 (Bodvarsson 18, Traustason 90+4), Austria 1 (Schopf 60)
England have no injury concerns heading into the game against Iceland, but Roy Hodgson is still expected to make five changes to the experimental side that played against Slovakia. Four Spurs players are tipped to return, with Kyle Walker, Danny Rose, Dele Alli and the out of form Harry Kane all returning. Wayne Rooney will retake the armband from Gary Cahill after he was rested against Slovakia.
Likely team (4-3-3): Hart – Walker, Cahill, Smalling, Rose; Alli, Dier, Rooney; Lallana, Kane, Sturridge.
Lars Lagerback kept his starting line-up the same throughout the group stage, and with no injury or suspension concerns he is unlikely to make any changes ahead of what is the biggest match in Iceland’s footballing history.
Likely team (4-4-2): Halldorsson – Saevarsson, Arnason, R Sigurdsson, Skulason; Gudmundsson, Gunnarsson, G Sigurdsson, B Bjarnason; Bodvarsson, Sigthorsson.
Keys to success
The English will not get anything from a disciplined and well-trained Icelandic defence, and they will need to convert their possession and opportunities into goals. They finished second in their group despite three dominant performances, and they will need to find some way of converting their chances if they are to win. Kane has not been in form and was lucky to edge out Jamie Vardy to reclaim his starting spot, and he will need to show how good he is.
Iceland are likely to give the English plenty of easy possession, and they will need to hold firm against a side which has the potential to score plenty of goals. England created plenty of opportunities in the group stage thanks to the work of their fullbacks, and Lagerback will need to find a way of preventing them from getting forward. Iceland will also need to find a way of scoring more goals, and will look to involve Gylfi Sigurdsson to try and break the English defence.
Iceland are a well-organised, well-trained unit and they will be very hard to break down. The English should dominate possession and have plenty of chances, but they have struggled to take their opportunities in the past. Iceland have no pressure or expectations, and could push England all the way. This game could be headed for a shootout, a situation the English would dread. England 2-1.